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Assembly Elections – Part 7

March 13th, 2012 · 2 Comments

Regional parties rule many states in India already. Each one has the potential to win 20-30 seats in a national election. Since many of them do not have a footprint in more than one state, in theory, they could all come together and try and cobble a government after the next elections if the Congress and BJP aggregate falls to less than 272 (the half-way mark).

That is easier said than done. The inherent differences and leadership aspirations will probably make it very difficult for any sort of stable government to emerge. Once again, policy-making and governance will suffer.

Of course, the alternative is that one of the Congress or BJP gets a majority on its own. That seems highly unlikely as of now. But two years is a long time in politics.

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2 responses so far ↓

  • 1 B Shantanu // Mar 13, 2012 at 1:07 pm

    Rajesh: Can you pl consider consolidating all parts in a single doc at the end?
    Thanks!

  • 2 RC // Mar 13, 2012 at 8:32 pm

    Regional parties are winning because finally the people of each region are realizing that a soviet style central government can never be a proper representation of the people.

    Regional parties are more likely to provide more representative government to the people than a central party that rules by sitting in Delhi like the Sultan or British Viceroy.

    BJP, the party that is for federalism should encourage this trend and should be actively engaging in deals with like minded parties.

    Eventually BJP can be the umbrella organization that can bring all non-socialist, federalist parties to form a government. Before forming the government all parties should agree on a broad pro reform policy agenda so that when it comes to implementing it there is no adhoc protest and obstruction.

    In short, one party gaining complete majority is not necessarily a good thing. Decentralized power model is more suited for a country as diverse as India.

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