Predictions for 2006

David Kirkpatrick writes in Fortune:

Google will stumble in 2006.

My second prediction is that Amazon will re-emerge as one of the web’s most powerful properties and provide increased competition for Google in 2006.

My third prediction is that telcos will become more powerful Internet service providers.

My fourth prediction is that Apple is likely to introduce a cellphone next year.

Mobile TV

Tech Review writes:

Mobile TV is exciting. But for me, the daily thrill of playing around with phones that serve as teeny TVs began to fade just around the moment I crossed the threshold to my apartment after work. That’s because at home, I have absolute control over what I see and how I see it. I have a Hewlett-Packard Media Center PC, a buggy but powerful machine that, in addition to serving as an ordinary computer, utterly blurs the distinction between streaming Web video and broadcast television. It allows me to watch, record, and organize video content from any source — the Web, broadcast TV, or DVDs. And because I also use the Windows Media Center Extender, I can have all that content streamed directly to my television.

Simply put, mobile television is, for the moment, the exact opposite of that experience. While Comcast may own the pipeline into my home, it doesn’t control the information that goes through those pipes. With mobile television, the only way to get content on phones is through the gatekeepers. That means that Sprint, Verizon, and Cingular can potentially dictate what you see and how you see it.

TECH TALK: The Best of Tech Talk 2005: Abhishek

For me, 2005 was an eventful year. Abhishek was born, the Emergic Ecosystem came to life, and Netcore began its metamorphosis.

Abhisheks birth this year was perhaps the most important personal event in my life for a long time. I wrote about the circumstances leading to his birth in a post (not a Tech Talk) which got me the most feedback amongst all posts Ive written. Entitled The Making of Abhishek, it was the the story of one couples dream to have a baby and another couples determination to make that happen.

On April 19, 2005, Abhishek came into the world as a six-and-a-half pound baby after a Caesarian. I could not believe it till I saw him and held him in my own hands. He was a survivor, having seen the death of two of his siblings, and braved the odds to come into this world. Five years after our first meeting with [IVF specialist] Dr. Aniurddha Malpani and eleven-and-a-half years into our marriage, Bhavana and I were parents.

For me, the lasting memory of April 19 is when both the Malpanis came (separately) and held Abhishek in their hands. He is, after all, their creation. He is a triumph of their determination as much as he is our dream come true.

I followed it up with a Letter to a 2005 Baby. I wrote: Through this letter, I want to share some of my thoughts on this changing world. Hopefully, by understanding where we came from, you will also be able to make this world better. Because there is still a lot to be done. From tackling poverty to searching for sources of alternative energy, the world needs even more innovation and entrepreneurship. There are so many elements in todays world that are unrecognisable from the world in which I was born. For example, desktop computers, mobiles and the Internet didnt exist when I was born and already today, I cannot imagine a day in my life without any of them). I wonder what the equivalent innovations and advances will be in your life. Nanotech? Intelligent Machines? Quantum computing? Or something we cannot even imagine today? Whatever it is, you are going to grow up in amazingly interesting times. Because the only constant in this world is Change. And you are going to get plenty of it even as you grow up.

Abhishek is now eight-and-a-half months old. He is a livewire. His day begins around 5 am. He plays for a couple hours or so with his toys, and then sleeps for 30-45 minutes. He then has a little breakfast, goes to the temple (with his parents), come back home, gets a bath and massage, and then sleeps for 2-3 hours. The rest of his day is full of activity interspersed with a late afternoon siesta. He crawls, stands up with support, and climbs the stairs. He keeps his mother busy all day until he goes to sleep at about 7:30 pm. I try and get home a little before he sleeps so I get to interact with him for a few in the evening. I am looking forward to 2006 knowing fully well that Abhishek is perhaps the most important start-up of my life!

Tomorrow: Emergic Ecosystem and Netcore

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