Emergic: Rajesh Jain's Blog

Emergic: Rajesh Jain's Blog header image 2

Transforming India: Target 272 in 2014

December 21st, 2011 · 2 Comments

Having watched how a single state chief minister like Mamata Banerjee with 18 out of 543 seats in the Lok Sabha can dictate what Bills the government can pass and with what provisos, it is quite clear we are now in a situation where we are only as good as what the smallest party in the government coalition decides.  Compounded with the fact that there are regular state elections to be fought and every caste, community and lobby has to be pleased, freebies, write-offs and quotas will be the norm.

I have reached the conclusion that the only way India is going to move forward faster is if a single party gets majority in the Lok Sabha. Only then will it be able to drive through legislation and the big decisions that India needs – including making government smaller and smarter. Until that happens, we have to be resigned to our fate. The UPA 2 had its opportunities in the first year of office, but it let that go in doing succession planning for 2014.

Winning 272 for the Congress is perhaps easier than the BJP simply because it contests more seats across the country. But given the mood of the nation, a Congress government with 272 in 2014 is unlikely to happen. Things could of course change, but the direction is downward, not upward. For the BJP to win 272, it needs to make 2014 into a “lamp-post” election by orchestrating a wave that will ensure it wins 4 of every 5 seats it contests. In other words, replicate what Jayalalithaa and Mamata did in 2011.

Is such a wave possible?

Continued tomorrow.

Tags: Uncategorized

2 responses so far ↓

  • 1 Siddharth Chawla // Dec 21, 2011 at 9:18 am

    Yes it can win if it plays a good strategy for next 2 years. Its actions now should display that it is capable of good governance.

    Instead it goes out and shouts against FDI which could have been dealt in a totally different way.

    Or maybe I am being just an optimist!

  • 2 Musthafa Ullal // Dec 22, 2011 at 9:28 pm

    I dont like Congress because of single side ruling since British left, but dont need BJP too, because they go in Communal way to have votes of citizens.

Leave a Comment