Jon Udell has a post entitled Crossing the bridge of weak ties, which discusses the new developments linking blogs and Internet groupware, and muses about “a world in which transparency and information-sharing are the rule rather than the exception” and “the evolution of our species toward shared consciousness.”
Two projects which Udell mentions are:
Greg Reinacker’s Outlook-based News Aggregator and Ingo Rammer’s use of Exchange as a weblog platform.
Sankarshan has an interesting article for Linux in Schools based on the total cost of ownership:
FreeBSD and Linux systems can be of enormous benefits to school business models. While these operating systems have long been adopted as the backbone of the IT industry, running web-servers and the like, they are also in areas of mission critical importance replacing Microsoft and Novell File Server(s). The Linux operating system and other OS under the umbrella of OpenSource or Free Software movement can be obtained for free from the local Linux Users Group – nothing comes cheaper than that. Yet the price may not be the only advantage that schools will obtain from such a switch over. Recent developments in application suites entail that a wide array of established and presumed applications and operations are handled by such OSs. Moreover, the unique networked environment in schools makes Linux a better choice.
Amy Wohl’s predictions For 2003 has this segment on New Interfaces:
Ive gotten bored waiting for a reliable voice interface. There are good voice interfaces to some things and less reliable ones for others. The trouble is they vary widely and I want them to all be just the same in both how they work and how well they work. The voice interface people need to talk to Sony about the standards for consumer technology.
On the other hand, I see a new graphical user interface for organizing my information proposed about once a day. So far, most of them arent very useful. Folks, Im not going to rework everything Ive got, use two different systems, or use an interface that thinks differently than I do.
And by the way, researchers, very few human beings store their information (or think about it) in chronological order. We tend to think about things in categories, projects, companies, teams or clients. But keep thinking about the problem. We cant manage all that information manually, so we need some help its just got to actually be helpful.
I have in the past thought about a concept called “MyDB” – a database which is flexible to store any information I want, wherein I define my own formats, and which can be accessible from anywhere via SMS (my cellphone) or the Web. The Unix command-line interface may work better than fancy GUIs. I need an interface which works like this:
[DatabaseName] [Add/Edit/Delete/Search] [Rest of the information]
If the DatabaseName (eg. PhoneBook, People, Project, Idea, Appointment) does not exist, it simply creates a new one (could be just a flat file). When I add, it just appends to the file. When I search on a string in the third field, it returns all matches where the string appears – I can do the worrying about duplicates.
Should be easy to build something like this. Maybe it already exists. And then I should actually start using it!
Over the past two years, I’ve had many key ideas as I seek out to build out my new venture. The first was that of an eBusiness software suite for SMEs. Then, I expanded this to an SME Tech Utility, which comprised of a whole solution for SMEs. Later, came the concept of Emergic – solutions for emerging enterprises in emerging markets, using emerging technologies.
As we began work in 2002 seeking to build out various components of Emergic — a thin-client thick-server software solution, a digital dashboard and an eBusiness suite, an interesting thing happened along the way as I started talking to people outside about our ideas. The one thing which stuck as the notion of the “Rs 5,000 PC” – I would say it in the context of hardware for Rs 5,000 and software for Rs 250 per user per month. But what people had captivated about was with the Rs 5,000 computer.
This reached a bit of crescendo (for us) when the media started wanting to talk about it – we have had coverage in the past 3 weeks in various newspapers and magazines [EcoTimes, BusinessStandard, DQWeek]. The concept that has attracted them more than anything else I talked about was the “cheap PC”.
When I started thinking more about it, I realised that even though we were focusing on developing the software, what excited others was the fact that we could run the software on cheaper hardware – in effect, we were bringing down the cost of hardware and not software (which was being pirated anyways). That’s where the notion that one could get a computer for Rs 5,000 (USD 100) as opposed to the Rs 20,000 or more was an instant winner in terms of their understanding of what we did.
I have been realising that perhaps, to sell the software, we need the hardware, too. We cannot think of the software in isolation – it has to be part of the solution. This may mean us looking at selling the Rs 5,000 computers to get the software out there! That has set me on a train of thought about this Rs 5,000 PC (5KPC). This is the background to both my latest thinking about Emergic and the eloboration of these ideas in the latest series of Tech Talks.
I have often talked about the Rs 5,000 (USD 100) Personal Computer in these columns as the cornerstone for engineering a revolution in taking computing to the next 500 million users. To build out computing for the next users in the worlds emerging markets, we need to think in terms of an ecosystem built around the Rs 5,000 PC (5KPC). In this series, I elaborate on these ideas, looking at specific segments and how they can be transformed using low-cost computers.
There are two driving factors behind the 5KPC thinking. For one, the PC can be the vehicle for opening up new windows and opportunities. For the first generation of users over the past quarter century, it has done just that. Neither the TV nor the telephone (or the cellphone) can match the computers interactive platform which enables its users to connect to each other, information and applications. The PC has engineered the technology and productivity revolution in the developed markets in the past two decades, flanked by the Internet and cheap connectivity. So, the question is: how can the PC now be taken across the digital divide to the next generation of users?
This brings us to the second factor. These users need a solution at a much lower-cost even though the computer cost has fallen to USD 200 (excluding monitor and software), that is still too much for most users in the rest of the world. I think the magical price point for computing to become a mass-market phenomenon in the developing countries of the world is USD 100 (Rs 5,000). Today, even the cheapest computers available in India are at least 3-4 times as much. Of course, they have the newest processors, plentiful memory and more storage than can be imagined. Software by itself costs way too much Microsoft Windows and Office can cost as much as the computer itself. (Of course, most users have their own way around these costs piracy.)
I have long believed that for consumers and enterprises in developing markets, computers are not a luxury, but a necessity. Here are two quotes from a story in San Francisco Chronicle, about the significance of a low-cost computing project in Laos:
Right now, the villagers have no way of telling what the market is like in the big towns they sell their stuff to, telling what the weather report is for their crops, things like that. This will absolutely change that. Plus, they will be able to talk to relatives in America some of them haven’t seen in decades. Lee Thorn, who is creating the Jhai computer.
The important thing is for them to have communication, because every day they sell their ducks, rice, weaving and chickens, and every day they have to sell for less money than they should because they can’t know what the real price is down in the towns. – Vorasone Denkayaphichitch, co-ordinating of the project in Laos.
And this from a story in the New York Times recently on Internet access in Ecuador:
“In the late 1990’s, everyone jumped up in arms over the digital divide, but it has proven almost impossible to bridge. Why would access to technology be any different than access to education, health care, employment or financial aid?” Peter Hakim, president of the Inter-American Dialogue, a Washington-based policy-analysis center, and an expert on Latin America.
Food, Water and Electricity are the basic essentials of life. They ensure todays survival. But they do not alter quality of life from generation to generation. In this context, the connected computer can become a passport to a better life, or a growing business. Food and water take of the present, computers can provide for a future.
Tomorrow: The Concept
Lee Thorn of San Francisco and Lee Felsenstein are the architects of the Jhai computer in Laos, which is powered by bicycle pedals and used WiFi and antennas nailed to trees to connect to the Internet. More in this story from SF Gate:
The bike-pedaled generator will power a battery that in turn runs the computer, which sits in an 8-by-10-inch box and has the power of a pre-Pentium, 486-type computer. Felsenstein designed it to run on only 12 watts — compared to a typical computer’s 90 watts — so the bike power would be up to the task.
“It has no moving parts, the lid seals up tight, and you can dunk it in water and it will still run,” Felsenstein said. “The idea is to be rugged, last at least 10 years and run in both the monsoon season and the dry season.”
The computer will hook up with a wireless card — an 802.11b, the current industry standard — to an antenna bolted on the roof of a bamboo house, and the signal will be beamed from there to an antenna nailed to a tree on top of a mountain. There the signal will be bounced to Phon Hong, which sits 25 miles from Phon Kham and is the nearest big village with phone lines. The phone lines then hook to an Internet service provider.
Felsenstein crafted the Jhai to run on Linux software, a system which, unlike some other software, will not be obsolete in 18 months.
Through the Internet connection, the Jhai Computer will be able to not only do e-mail, but also run a two-way telephone system VoIP.
I’ll be writing this week in my Tech Talk on the ecosystem which low-cost computers can proliferate.
The number of people on the Internet in China reached 59.1 million by the end of 2002, according to the latest survey by the China Internet Network Information Center, as the world’s second-largest Internet user population continued to grow. The Internet user population increased by 13.3 million people since the center’s previous survey at the end of June 2002, Cinic said in a statement Thursday.
Chinese Internet users now make up an estimated 9% of the global Internet population, and about 4.6% of China’s own massive population.
The government-backed group predicted that the Internet user population will grow 46% during 2003 to hit 86.3 million by the end of the year.
In a report late last year, the United Nations estimated that China already had the world’s second-largest Internet population, far behind the more than 140 million in the U.S. but edging ahead of the roughly 58 million in Japan.
From Newsfactor, quoting a Goldman Sachs report on Linux:
Linux will emerge as the dominant operating system in corporate data centers. IT buyers will use Linux to take advantage of lower-cost, higher-performance Intel-based servers and to avoid “premium-priced proprietary systems.” Eventually, systems running Linux will displace systems based on Unix and RISC processors.
“Many observers confine Linux’s enterprise opportunity to the market for low-end ‘edge’ servers such as file, print, Web, and e-mail servers,” the study, entitled “Fear The Penguin,” notes. “But we are confident that the technical developments and market forces are in place for it also to become the dominant OS on the higher-end servers of the enterprise data center.”
Spam traffic has grown from 8 percent of Internet e-mail in 2001 to as much as 40 percent in 2002, according to Brightmail Inc., which provides filtering products for several major Internet service providers.
Spam is costly for everybody. It costs about $250 to send a million spams, but about $2,800 in lost wages, at the federal minimum wage, for those million spams to be deleted, Yerazunis estimates.
Altogether, spam costs U.S. businesses $8.9 billion and European businesses $2.5 billion annually, according to a study released this month by San Francisco-based Ferris Research.
The article says that “William Yerazunis’ presentation on his CRM114 Discriminator language was a centerpiece of the conference. His filtering technique hashes the messages, matching short phrases from the incoming text with phrases that the user previously supplied as example text, catching spam that might not exactly match standard spam text. He claims that the system has higher than 99.9 percent effectiveness; it can be downloaded for free.”
More on CRM114:
CRM114 is a system to examine incoming e-mail, system log streams, data files or other data streams, and to sort, filter, or alter the incoming files or data streams according to whatever the user desires. Criteria for categorization of data can be by satisfaction of regexes, by sparse binary polynomial matching with a Bayesian Chain Rule evaluator, or by other means. Accuracy of the SBPH/BCR classifier has been seen in excess of 99 per cent, for 1/4 megabyte of learning text. In other words, CRM114 learns, and it learns fast .
CRM114 is compatible with SpamAssassin or other spam-flagging software; it can also be pipelined in front of or behind procmail. CRM114 is also useful as a syslog or firewall log filter, to alert you to important events but ignore the ones that aren’t meaningful.
I think we should check it out. Its free for use under GPL.
Avaya, Proxim and Motorola are codeveloping a mobile device that roams between cell phone networks and public or private Wi-Fi wireless hot spots.
The three communications manufacturers believe the phones and supporting gear will be among the first from major companies to link two of the world’s most popular kinds of wireless network, said Bo Pyskir, senior director of business development at Motorola.
“Our vision is to connect the various spaces, be they public hot spots, private hot spots or office networks,” Pyskir said.
The gear announced includes a phone from Motorola that uses both Wi-Fi and cell phone networks. The telephone network equipment and the software to manage it all comes from Avaya, while Proxim is building a new kind of Wi-Fi access point.
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