VentureBlog has a post by Naval Ravikant on the past and future trends in technology.
Geometric growth in CPU power and disk space drove the PC revolution. Big winners — Intel, Seagate, Microsoft, others…
Geometric growth in modem speeds, LAN networking, and optics drove the Internet revolution. Big winners — Yahoo! Ebay, Google, others…
In the last three-five years, yet more steadily advancing technical trends have come into play:
. Internet traffic continues to double every year for the forseeable future
. CMOS image sensors are doubling in density every 18 months
. Liquid Crystal Displays and Liquid Crystal on Silicon are increasing panel size and density, roughly doubling every two to three years
. Solid-state non-volatile memory is doubling in capacity every 18 months
. Improved power management and new batteries are increasing effective battery life by about 20-30% every year
. Wireless networks are doubling in capacity every 18 months
Who will be tomorrow’s winners?
